Where do you think COE is heading?
Reasons for COE to come down:
- Grab, Uber has stopped expanding.
- Comfort and Uber tie up may get rid of surplus cars
- taxi companies have many taxi that no driver is renting
- 2008; 2009 huge batch of cars are due for scrap.
- people switching to uber/grab, and new MRT lines.
- 1 rocket from N Korea to US will bring down COE, but increase Oil & Gold price.
- And where have the buyers gone? A motor show and CNY did not push COE up, surprising.
Reasons for COE to go up:
- zero car growth starts in Feb
- more stringent VES in Jun 2018 making cars more expensive
- global and local economic growth forecasted for 2018
- strong stock market. COE & stock market are correlated if u hv not realised.
- Trump is pro business, bode well for global economy.
- Enbloc fever is turning Thousands of households into millionaires. Once these households get the $, a portion of them will upgrade/buy etc.
Where do u think car prices are heading ?