Jump to content

How to make money in 4D with 91% probability?


Little_prince
 Share

Recommended Posts

Turbocharged

Too high. The actual is $3k + $2k + $800 = $5,800 for small.

 

For Big = $2k + $1k + $490 + 10 ($250) + 10 ($60) = $6,590

 

We are better off playing Roulette. [laugh]

 

[thumbsup]

 

and to add on... the payout ratio of 4D for the top prize is $2000/10,000 combinations = 0.2

 

for Toto, it's $600,000/8m+ combinations (assuming not snow-balled) = less than 0.075 [smash]

↡ Advertisement
Link to post
Share on other sites

Turbocharged

a maths question here...

 

if 1234 opens on last Sunday, what is the probability of 1234 opens on this Sunday?

 

1/10000 ?

 

or

 

1/10000 x 1/10000 ?

Link to post
Share on other sites

actually, minus all sold out numbers, same numbers and obvious stupid numbers, looking from 0000-9999,

 

skipping properly can actually earn u abit

 

Very flawed calculations method you have there....

if like what u said works...

then Singapore pools would not even have started... [laugh]

Link to post
Share on other sites

so 0350 is okay? :huh:

 

 

hahah

are u expecting?

 

since wed come out already

sat wont' come out again

 

Link to post
Share on other sites

a maths question here...

 

if 1234 opens on last Sunday, what is the probability of 1234 opens on this Sunday?

 

1/10000 ?

 

or

 

1/10000 x 1/10000 ?

 

1/10000

 

 

 

Link to post
Share on other sites

Both numbers have nothing to do with each other so the probability is exactly the same. And as another bro mentioned, milcq's theory is totally untrue. There's nothing preventing 3 digits in a row to happen. Every number is randomly picked individually, there's no relations between how each digit is selected, or how each set of numbers are selected. It has happened more than once, numbers with 4 of the same digits.

 

I just did some statistic check due to the amount of time i have on my hands...

its based on the number "1"

 

based on dates 22/02 till 14/03...

If i bought the number starting with "1" for all the 4D numbers during the period of time, the profit will be +2050.

 

22/02- + 250

25/2- +1000

26/2- - 94029/2-+2250

03/3--69004/3-+1250

07/3-+1120

10/3--130

11/3--100014/3-+1060

 

 

 

But of course there is never a sure win....

but in this case, its hard to lose all the way as well...

anybody wanna buy 4D this weekend?

hehe :D

Link to post
Share on other sites

Turbocharged

Both numbers have nothing to do with each other so the probability is exactly the same. And as another bro mentioned, milcq's theory is totally untrue. There's nothing preventing 3 digits in a row to happen. Every number is randomly picked individually, there's no relations between how each digit is selected, or how each set of numbers are selected. It has happened more than once, numbers with 4 of the same digits.

 

think some professor asked this question some years ago...

 

in the end no correct answer

 

the answer depends on how the question is being asked (each sunday or consecutive sundays)

Link to post
Share on other sites

hahah

are u expecting?

 

since wed come out already

sat wont' come out again

 

 

0350 is the only number combination not to been drawn since May 1985. All other stupid numbers have.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Link to post
Share on other sites

http://www.bschool.nus.edu.sg/Staff/.....;/Moneyin4D.pdf

 

Quote:

 

In the Singapore 4D game, we describe a betting strategy that will allow the player to

make a profit with at least 91% probability, as long as the player has a capital of around

$1.4M. Of course, the flip side is that the player has to bear the risk (around 9% of the

time) that all the money will be lost in the 4D game. The strategy is simple, just bet on 44

four-digit numbers, and siutably increase the wager over the iBet BIG and SMALL games

after each round if the player does not win. Your capital of around $1.4M should allow you

to sustain 22 rounds of the game. Good Luck.

 

collaboration with NUS and Shanghai Jiao Tong University.

 

http://www.bschool.nus.edu.sg/Staff/bizteocp/Moneyin4D.pdf

I believe many things can looks/sounds simple and easy. I am now doing live SPOT FOREX, and learning the hardship of it. [sweatdrop] Begining to find out what I do not know that I need to know. [sweatdrop] Only after solution found, then the more serious problems showed up. [sweatdrop]

Study can be only academic. Practical results can dismiss the theories sometimes. Example: SMRT for one reason or another, spent millions buying overweight trains to abuse/damage their MRT tracks. [sweatdrop]

Link to post
Share on other sites

I believe many things can looks/sounds simple and easy. I am now doing live SPOT FOREX, and learning the hardship of it. [sweatdrop] Begining to find out what I do not know that I need to know. [sweatdrop] Only after solution found, then the more serious problems showed up.

Study can be only academic. Practical results can dismiss the theories sometimes. Example: SMRT for one reason or another, spent millions buying overweight trains to abuse/damage their MRT tracks. [sweatdrop]

1) I can concur with your practical result thingy

2) Trains are not overweight lah. People are! Trains cannot slim down. Ppl can.[laugh]

3) So abused by who ar? [gossip]Even by underweight ppl becos of sheer numbers in the trains lor.

Have a great weekend riding on the trains if you must! [wave]

Link to post
Share on other sites

1) I can concur with your practical result thingy

2) Trains are not overweight lah. People are! Trains cannot slim down. Ppl can.[laugh]

3) So abused by who ar? [gossip]Even by underweight ppl becos of sheer numbers in the trains lor.

Have a great weekend riding on the trains if you must! [wave]

There was a report of a new batch trains weighing 320tonnes being used. [shakehead] Originals weighting 220tonnes [sweatdrop]

Link to post
Share on other sites

It's academic study means it would be mostly statistical and mathematical research. Michael Hui made a movie in the 1970s that has the final scene about betting on Macau greyhound racing. His method involves betting in both race club and bookie, causing the hot favourite odds to increase, by making a lousy dog the new hot favourite. The reality is the bookie will match his bets in the race club to balance the odds, so he needs to prevent the bookie from doing so -- for a 70s movie, the method was to cut the telephone wire.

 

Outside a movie, there are much more external factors, other people sold out on the same number etc. which are not predictable.

 

 

This is how the horse racing works in many countries.

 

Anyone here interested in horse racing??

 

Care to share some of the insight abt horse racing?

Link to post
Share on other sites

There was a report of a new batch trains weighing 320tonnes being used. [shakehead] Originals weighting 220tonnes [sweatdrop]

Besides the before and after side rail craws re-works.....may be they already installed many spring stifferners before the FT Policy to overcome the weight capacity ? [rolleyes]

Link to post
Share on other sites

Besides the before and after side rail craws re-works.....may be they already installed many spring stifferners before the FT Policy to overcome the weight capacity ? [rolleyes]

I believe after the investigation found the tracks being damaged by overloaded trains [shakehead] . Need to buy and operate many buses to compensate while rectifying the damages (like the temporary replacementd car insurers provided while accident damaged car under repair) [shakehead] .

Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...