Singapore's population hits 5.18 million as at end-June

[CKP]

Singapore's population hits 5.18 million as at end-June

 

Published on Sep 28, 2011

 

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Singapore's total population stood at 5.18 million as at end-June 2011.

 

 

-- ST PHOTO: JOYCE FANGBy Janice Heng

 

Singapore's population has reached 5.18 million, up 2.1 per cent from 5.08 million last year.

 

The growth was due to increases in the number of citizens and non-residents. There are now 3.26 million citizens, up 0.8 per cent from 3.23 in 2010.

 

The number of non-residents - foreigners who are working, studying or living here but not granted permanent resident status - rose 6.9 per cent to 1.39 million this year, from 1.31 million in 2010. In contrast, the number of permanent residents fell by 1.7 per cent, to 532,000 from 541,000 in 2010.

 

The updated population figures, released on Wednesday by the Department of Statistics, are of Singapore's population as at the end of June in 2011.

 

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At this rate of 100K per year, 6.5 million will be hit in 14 years.

 

Congrats to the government for bringing in more working ants!

 

HUAT AH PAP!

 

Edited September 28, 2011 by CKP

[Blackyv]

cannot, too slow..7yrs is too long..... very likely, old man wont be around to witness that if 7yrs.... must speed up the process.. make it happen within 3yrs possible?...

[CKP]

Sorry, i miscalculated. Stats count at mid june so increase was 100K per year.

 

In year 2025, goal of 6.5M will be reached.

 

That is a shocking 25 years AHEAD of Mah Bow Tan's orginal plan which called for 6.5M at 2050.

 

PAP very efficient and competent in boosting population.

 

Edited September 28, 2011 by CKP

[13177]

The report mentioned citizens, up 0.8 per cent from 3.23 in 2010. This 0.8% also people from FTs to PR to citizens?

[CKP]

Hard to say since not published directly.

 

Known outflow of Singapore citizens and PR is about 5-8K per year.

 

Inflow of residents about 25K?

 

Change in total population of citizens = natural change (births - deaths of citizens) + net immigration (new citizens entering - old citizens leaving).

 

 

Edited September 28, 2011 by CKP

[Ender]

  On 9/28/2011 at 7:11 AM, 13177 said:

The report mentioned citizens, up 0.8 per cent from 3.23 in 2010. This 0.8% also people from FTs to PR to citizens?

The 0.8% definitely from converted citizens.. Our fertility rate is 1.1, which is declining. This mean converted citizen is more than 0.8%.

[Blackyv]

  On 9/28/2011 at 7:11 AM, 13177 said:

The report mentioned citizens, up 0.8 per cent from 3.23 in 2010. This 0.8% also people from FTs to PR to citizens?

 

it's kind of weird... the birth rate is 1.1 but grow rate is 0.8...???... the brith rate is base on singaporean+PR?...if include the converted, the 0.8 grow rate is very low wor.....

[CKP]

  On 9/28/2011 at 7:15 AM, Ender said:

The 0.8% definitely from converted citizens.. Our fertility rate is 1.1, which is declining. This mean converted citizen is more than 0.8%.

 

Bro, that is not exactly true.

 

A population can continue to naturally increase for many years (with net migration at zero), even though fertility rate is below replacement 2.0

 

This is due to the effect called population lag or momentum.

 

Edited September 28, 2011 by CKP

[CKP]

  On 9/28/2011 at 7:18 AM, Blackyv said:

it's kind of weird... the birth rate is 1.1 but grow rate is 0.8...???... the brith rate is base on singaporean+PR?...if include the converted, the 0.8 grow rate is very low wor.....

 

Bro, fertility rate is not the birth rate. Fertility rate is a synthetic number.

 

For actual and real birth rates, need to look at crude birth rate eg 30 childbirths per 1000 resident population. This is not a synthetic number like fertility rate.

 

 

 

[Maroon5]

not to mention the 1M tourists and social visitors...no wonder my feet are knocking into each other :angry:

[CKP]

  On 9/28/2011 at 7:21 AM, Maroon5 said:

not to mention the 1M tourists and social visitors...no wonder my feet are knocking into each other :angry:

 

Good point. The 5.18M does not include those short term visitors and tourists.

 

 

Edited September 28, 2011 by CKP

[Ender]

  On 9/28/2011 at 7:18 AM, CKP said:

Bro, that is not exactly true.

 

A population can continue to naturally increase for many years (with net migration at zero), even though fertility rate is below replacement 2.0

 

This is due to the effect called population lag or momentum.

 

 

Don't know these terms... Learn something...

[West_end]

  On 9/28/2011 at 7:15 AM, Ender said:

The 0.8% definitely from converted citizens.. Our fertility rate is 1.1, which is declining. This mean converted citizen is more than 0.8%.

 

Possible... one of my colleague just got the pink IC and he's on fxxking cloud9.

 

 

[13177]

Population here keeps raising, but the infrastructure here can support or not?

[Ender]

  On 9/28/2011 at 7:18 AM, CKP said:

Bro, that is not exactly true.

 

A population can continue to naturally increase for many years (with net migration at zero), even though fertility rate is below replacement 2.0

 

This is due to the effect called population lag or momentum.

 

Just google the term. Hope I understand it correctly. For the population lag to come into effect to offset our current low Totale Fertility Rate(TFR), we have to in the past have a TFR significanlty higher than 2, and also our death rate is reduce. I can see according news, that our life expectancy has increase, but were we alot higher in TFR in the past, like 3?

 

I still think overall we are declining, and the 0.8% growth comes mainly from converted citizens. Which means more than 0.8% converted. roughly 1.25% converted.

[CKP]

  On 9/28/2011 at 7:41 AM, Ender said:

Just google the term. Hope I understand it correctly. For the population lag to come into effect to offset our current low Totale Fertility Rate(TFR), we have to in the past have a TFR significanlty higher than 2, and also our death rate is reduce. I can see according news, that our life expectancy has increase, but were we alot higher in TFR in the past, like 3?

 

I still think overall we are declining, and the 0.8% growth comes mainly from converted citizens. Which means more than 0.8% converted. roughly 1.25% converted.

 

There is definitely conversion or new citizens to the 0.8%, question is how much?. I think it is possible to calculate if you have the following numbers:

 

1. Births of citizens (not published directly). They provide residents data.

 

2. Death of citizens, same as births only resident data.

 

3. Citizens leaving. Not published. Residents leaving is also a secret.

 

4. New citizens entering maybe it can be found in NTPD's website. The national talent and population division under the PMO publishes this data of new citizens, but I can't find it now. Somewhere in their website.

 

You need the above 4 data points to find the answer. Fertility rate is not useful as it is a synthetic or derivative number based on an imaginary woman.

 

 

As for population lag, I will quote wiki:

 

"Population-lag effect

 

A population that maintained a TFR of 3.8 over an extended period of time without a correspondingly high death or emigration rate would increase rapidly, whereas a population that maintained a TFR of 2.0 over a long time would decline (unless it had a large enough immigration). However, it may take several generations for a change in the total fertility rate to be reflected in birth rate, because the age distribution must reach equilibrium. For example, a population that has recently dropped below replacement-level fertility will continue to grow, because the recent high fertility produced large numbers of young couples who would now be in their child-bearing years. This phenomenon carries forward for several generations and is called population momentum or population-lag effect."

 

Edited September 28, 2011 by CKP

[Tonyhawk]

incredible. of the supposed residents in singapore, only 62% are citizens.

[Sk65]

  On 9/28/2011 at 7:55 AM, Tonyhawk said:

incredible. of the supposed residents in singapore, only 62% are citizens.

add in tourist

 

should be 50% easily